Quarkside

28/05/2013

Predictive Monitoring: Hackathon success

Filed under: Technology — lenand @ 2:13 pm
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In the era of big data, analytical methods have to be fast and effective.  Traditional statistical and rule based methods cannot keep pace with volumes and variety of data being collected.  They will miss patterns of data that could improve decision making.

The time has come when there is little option other than starting to consider automatic machine learning on an enterprise scale.  Patterns in data can be identified and used to calculate the probability of events in the future.  The prediction can be done in real time applications, such as intensive care monitoring in hospitals.

There seems to be a view that machine learning, pattern matching and prediction is expensive, slow or inaccurate – or all three!  Here is an example that demonstrates otherwise.  A Hackathon produced a prediction of blood sugar level in a diabetic patient in less than a day.  The machine learning algorithms were not meditated by any additional clinical input.

Blood sugar prediction

Blood sugar prediction

Similar techniques could prove invaluable in care of the elderly, early dementia and psychiatric patient monitoring.

This Predictive Monitoring hackathon was held in Singapore.  The UK should be more proactive in supporting such machine learning innovation, or a lead in vital technology could be lost.

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14/05/2013

Integrating Social Care and Health

Filed under: Local Government,Technology — lenand @ 9:37 am
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The Government has mandated the integration of health and social care services by 2018, potentially imposing a financial penalties for siloed services.  Good.  There is a budget of about £1bn to ensure there are integrated projects in every part of the country by 2015.

Who is going to lead it in locations where services are delivered?  How is the funding going to be allocated?  These questions do not seem to be answered.  Quarkside suggests looking again at the Framework for Multi-agency Enviroments.  It does not give the answers – but it has a method for bringing all the issues together.  Perhaps the Local CIO Council may give some leadership.

The elderly and their families are most likely to benefit.  Two separate industries, for telehealth and telecare, are growing rapidly.  The new political direction now opens an opportunity for telehealthcare, extending the period older people can remain safely in their own homes.  An integrated service should support all levels of the Kaiser Pyramid.

Observe the need for technology that has to transition from Self Care to Professional Care.  Be aware of the interoperability requirements as more complex monitoring has to be added with increasing risk.  Families will need telehealthcare products that are simple to use.

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